Meta ran a sign-up campaign from 23 Oct to 2 Nov to build a waiting list ahead of the Little Hyde & Hare launch. This page covers who signed up, what they have bought in the six days since launch, and how much they need to spend over Black Friday and Cyber Monday to return 4x to 5x what we spent.
Short version: we spent £1,772 and got about 1,400 people who are very interested (one in four clicked the launch email) but have mostly not bought yet.
So far they have returned 0.9x on first click (Triple Whale) and up to 1.9x counting everything they have bought.
To get to 4x, roughly 2% to 3% of them need to buy once over Black Friday and Cyber Monday. To get to 5x, it's 3% to 4%. Last year's Black Friday leads bought at 22% to 28%, so the target looks reachable, as long as this list gets its own Black Friday emails.
Meta's data on the 1,124 sign-ups it tracked. The audience is very concentrated, which is a good sign for Little: these are mums of young children or mums-to-be, not general H&H shoppers.
95% women, 89% aged 25 to 44. Spend was 89% England, 6% Scotland, 3% Wales, 2% Northern Ireland.
Two ads brought in 85% of the sign-ups, at the lowest cost.
| Ad | Spend | Sign-ups | Cost each |
|---|---|---|---|
| 010 · Video · Old World Is Returning | £771 | 531 | £1.45 |
| 016 · Image · Press Eyes On Us · Field Run | £622 | 420 | £1.48 |
| 020 · Image · Press Eyes On Us · Basket | £120 | 59 | £2.04 |
| 015 · Image · Nurtured By Nature · Teepee | £121 | 54 | £2.24 |
| 011 · Video · Old World Is Returning · Little W | £96 | 46 | £2.09 |
| Other 7 ads | £41 | 14 | £2.93 |
This list opens and clicks much more than the main H&H list. It has mostly not bought yet.
| Sent to | Recipients | Open rate | Click rate | Bought | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welcome to Little (1 week to launch), 26 Oct | Little list | 685 | 64% | 1.0% | 0.15% |
| Little Launch, Founding Family, 3 Nov | Little list | 1,733 | 61% | 25.7% | 0.64% |
| Little Launch, 3 Nov | Main H&H list | 8,943 | 67% | 4.3% | 0.28% |
Of everyone on the Little list who clicked the launch email, only about 1 in 40 bought. They want to look but aren't buying yet. Possible reasons: timing (a baby not yet born, or a gift for later), the price, or the range not having what they wanted.
Each way of counting gives a different answer. First click (Triple Whale) is the fairest for a campaign like this, because its job is to bring in new people, not to close the sale. "All purchases since joining" is the upper limit.
| How it's counted | Orders | Revenue | Return on £1,772 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Triple Whale, last click | 2 | £228 | 0.1x |
| Triple Whale, linear | 12 | £1,041 | 0.6x |
| Triple Whale, first click | 9 | £1,659 | 0.9x |
| Klaviyo: everything sign-ups bought after joining | 19 | £3,378 | 1.9x |
| Of which Little products | 6 | £714 | 0.4x |
Black Friday is 27 Nov and Cyber Monday is 30 Nov. The table below shows how much more revenue the 1,364 new sign-ups need to bring in, and what share of them need to buy once to get there. It shows two average order sizes: £143 (Little orders so far) and £196 (H&H's average order over Black Friday last year).
| Target | Starting from | Revenue still needed | Orders at £143 | Orders at £196 | Share of list that must buy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4x = £7,088 | First click (£1,659) | £5,429 | 38 | 28 | 2.0% to 2.8% |
| 4x = £7,088 | All purchases (£3,378) | £3,710 | 26 | 19 | 1.4% to 1.9% |
| 5x = £8,860 | First click (£1,659) | £7,201 | 50 | 37 | 2.7% to 3.7% |
| 5x = £8,860 | All purchases (£3,378) | £5,482 | 38 | 28 | 2.1% to 2.8% |
This assumes one order per buyer and doesn't take Black Friday discounts off the order value. If there's a discount, average orders get smaller and more people need to buy.
| List | People | Bought | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|
| BFCM 2025 Early Access leads, over BFCM 2025 (Meta, £731 spent) | 208 | 28% (59) | £14,643 (20x) |
| Of which brand-new to H&H | 122 | 22% (27) | £6,136 |
| BFCM 2024 leads, over BFCM 2025 (one year later) | 96 | 7.3% (7) | £694 |
| Founding Family list, so far (bought since joining, 6 days after launch) | 1,364 | 1.0% (14) | £2,131 |
This isn't a fair comparison. Last year's leads signed up for early access to a sale, days before it started, so they were ready to buy. The Founding Family list signed up for a new brand launch. Even so, the year-old 2024 list still bought at 7.3% during Black Friday, without being a sale-specific sign-up. That suggests 2% to 4% is a realistic target, provided this list gets its own Black Friday emails and doesn't just receive the main H&H campaign.
Where the numbers come from